Link: Nvidia Latest to Claim Android and iOS Will Be a Repeat of the PC and Mac Market

January 25th, 2012, by The Angry Drunk

Craig Grannell:

I find the argu­ment that there has to be — or even that there will be — one dom­i­nant player in the mobile mar­ket with­out foun­da­tion. If we look back through the his­tory of tech­nol­ogy, and even exam­ine the present, the PC/Mac mar­ket was an aber­ra­tion. You don’t have peo­ple argu­ing that only one com­pany will become dom­i­nant in TVs, cars, sound sys­tems, and so on.

I’ve made this argu­ment before myself. Trying to use the his­tory of the PC/Mac mar­ket as a model for any other mar­ket is stu­pid and doomed to failure.

Drunklink
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  • http://mangochut.net/ man­gochut­ney

    I find it frus­trat­ing that so called experts are so con­strained in their think­ing that they can’t come up with dif­fer­ent com­par­isons and analy­ses than the old ‘PC vs. Mac’ thing. Especially in the face of real­ity hit­ting them in the face over and over and over again.

  • His Shadow

    What exactly qual­i­fies Android to play the role of Windows in this fan­tasy sce­nario? Putting aside the fool­ish­ness of com­par­ing the PC mar­ket to the smart phone mar­ket, what fea­ture does Android pos­sess, other than ubiq­uity, to com­pare to Windows to argue that Android can be lever­aged in the same man­ner to mar­gin­al­ize Apple? Microsoft’s Windows, regard­less of what one thinks of its per­for­mance and fea­tures thru the 90’s, was an OS with a con­sis­tent inter­face that ran across dozens of dif­fer­ent con­fig­u­ra­tions of hard­ware and if you had suf­fi­cient RAM and HDD space, a pro­gram you used on a Compaq looked, ran and per­formed iden­ti­cally to the OS/program combo on an IBM or a Dell. An update to the Windows OS was an update that could be deployed office/company/country-wide, even glob­ally. Compare this to the legions of Android based aban­don­ware hand­sets that will never get an update.

    Unless and until Android reaches a level of inter­face and per­for­mance con­sis­tency (never mind updates or even sup­port past orig­i­nal pur­chase) , Androids mar­ket share alone will not make any devel­oper the same amount of money as a lesser num­ber of Apple prod­ucts which not only get updates going back three years of hard­ware, but have a con­sis­tent OS across both the iPhone and the iPad. Androids cumu­la­tive mar­ket share will be of no ser­vice to Google or it’s part­ners as a monop­oly capa­ble of being wielded as Windows was/is on the PC. Except as a con­tin­u­ing deliv­ery mech­a­nism for ads.

    • http://mangochut.net/ man­gochut­ney

      Well said, except for the fact that Android isn’t ubiq­ui­tous, because as you noted fur­ther down, Android isn’t a uni­fied OS, not even a uni­fied experience.

      This whole argu­ment is stu­pid stu­pid stupid.

      • His Shadow

        I use a rather loose def­i­n­i­tion of what con­sti­tutes an Android device. Even the Android sup­port­ers are begin­ning to argue about what con­sti­tutes an Android device. A dis­cus­sion I’m sure not a one of us have any inter­est in.